The latest exit polls show that Marine Le Pen's far-right National Rally (RN) party won the first round of France's parliamentary election over the weekend – now on to next week's run-off.
Just over 34 percent of the vote went to RN and its allies, according to exit poll data from Ipsos, Ifop, OpinionWay and Elabe. Emmanuel Macron's Together alliance, conversely, received between 20-23 percent, which is dismal.
In between was the New Popular Front (NFP), described as "a hastily assembled left-wing coalition," which was projected to win around 29 percent of the vote once fully tallied.
The exit poll numbers matched the opinion polls conducted ahead of the election, though they do not indicate whether or not the RN will be able to successfully form a government that can "cohabit" with Macron's pro-EU (European Union) regime.
France, Ifop-Fiducial exit poll:
Snap national parliament election
RN and allies-ID: 34.2%
NFP-LEFT|G/EFA|S&D: 29.1%
Ensemble-RE: 21.5%
LR/Divers droite-EPP: 10%
Far-left candidates-*: 1.3%
? https://t.co/oL97q6mlTg #législatives2024 #ElectionsLegislatives2024 pic.twitter.com/VmF87HLBGH
— Europe Elects (@EuropeElects) June 30, 2024
(Related: Remember during the Wuhan coronavirus [COVID-19] "pandemic" when Macron declared that unvaccinated French citizens were no longer allowed in France?)
National Rally has higher chance than ever of gaining power in France
In years past, France's center-right and center-left parties have teamed up to keep the RN from obtaining any power, but this so-called "republican front" is a lot less certain this election cycle.
The world should know some time next week whether or not RN is able to breach the republican front or if the center-to-left part of the political spectrum in France will eke out its usual victory.
If no candidate reaches 50 percent of the vote during the first round, the top two contenders will automatically qualify for the second round along with everyone else who tallies at least 12.5 percent of the registered vote. In the run-off, whoever takes the most votes regardless of percentage will take the constituency.
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Reuters reported that there was heavy turnout for the Sunday election. This points to France seeing a record number of three-way runoffs this election cycle, which is much more beneficial than normal for the RN.
Almost immediately on Sunday night, horsetrading, as they call it, began with Macron calling on French voters to rally behind candidates who are "clearly republican and democratic," these two terms being generically used rather than in the American context.
Based on statements Macron has made in recent days, the candidates he considers to be "clearly republican and democrat" exclude all candidates from the RN party, as well as all candidates from the hard-left France Unbowed (LFI) party.
Embarrassingly for Macron, French voters already made their voices heard in the European parliamentary elections when they rejected all the political puppets from the likes of the World Economic Forum (WEF).
"Our guideline is simple and clear: not a single more vote for the National Rally," declared LFI leader Jean-Luc Melenchon, who added that the second-place NFP alliance will withdraw all candidates who came in third during the first round of voting.
French voters are unlikely to support any socialist-led alliance after said alliance last week indicated that it plans to increase the top marginal income tax rate to 90 percent if it assumes control over the people of France.
The RN's Jordan Bardella, just 28 years old, says he is ready and able to become the prime minister of France, currently the second-largest economy in Europe behind Germany.
"I will be a 'cohabitation' prime minister, respectful of the constitution and of the office of president of the republic, but uncompromising about the policies we will implement," Bardella said gracefully in a statement.
This is a big year for elections, not just in the United States and France. Learn more at BigGovernment.news.
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