The time has come: Republicans uniting behind Trump as Democrats remain fractured between Clinton and Sanders
05/31/2016 / By JD Heyes / Comments
The time has come: Republicans uniting behind Trump as Democrats remain fractured between Clinton and Sanders

( In terms of national polling, the so-called “Trump bump” has arrived, according to Politico, and there are clear reasons why that has happened.

On Saturday the political site reported that the major reason for the unity: More Republicans and conservatives have realized that the one overarching goal this election cycle is to defeat Hillary Clinton, the prospective Democratic Party nominee.

When it became apparent that the November election would likely be a Trump/Clinton contest the billionaire was trailing by about 7 points. But he has since rapidly closed that gap: As of Friday, Clinton’s advantage had fallen to roughly two points (well within margins of error), according to the HuffPost Pollster average. Other polls, like a Fox News survey last week, showed Trump inching ahead of Clinton.

As Politico reported further:

The main reason for Trump’s surge over the past few weeks? He is earning increasingly larger shares of the Republican vote – even as some prominent GOP leaders, like House Speaker Paul Ryan, haven’t yet committed to supporting their party’s apparent nominee. But rank-and-file Republican voters are lining up behind Trump in large numbers, closing the gap with Clinton’s support among Democrats, which had been higher during earlier stages of the campaign.

“Republican voters are consolidating around Trump, and it’s been beneficial to him not to have other Republican opponents constantly attacking him,” Democratic pollster Geoff Garin, who advises the pro-Clinton super PAC Priorities USA, told the news site.

As in the past, all of the data suggests there will be a close race in the fall, with about 12 or so states likely to be decisive in the Electoral College. But then again, Trump’s the most unlikely of candidates, for either party – as his early and oft-predicted demise that never came to fruition proves – so it’s hard to say where the data will ultimately line up by November.

Another thing: Trump has been extremely adept in his attacks against rivals, adopting easy-to-remember nicknames like “Lyin’ Ted” (for Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas) and, now, “Crooked Hillary,” a jab at both her checkered past and current target of investigation by the FBI.

In the Fox poll, Trump was ahead of Clinton among all registered voters 4542 percent (within the margin of error), which was a reversal from April, when Clinton had a 7-point lead (48-41 percent).

In the new Fox poll, Clinton wins 83 percent of self-identified Democrats, while Trump takes 82 percent of Republicans. Trump’s lead is built on a 16-point edge among independents, 46 percent to 30 percent.

Meanwhile, a CBS News/New York Times poll conducted over roughly the same period found Clinton up by 6 points, 47 percent to 41 percent. However, like the Fox poll, Clinton earns about the same percentage of Democrats (88 percent) as Trump does of Republicans (85 percent). But unlike Fox, the CBS/Times survey showed a tied race among independents.

Still, though Trump is benefiting from a unifying Republican voter base, part of his gain also comes as Democratic voters abandon Clinton – either in favor of her socialist rival, Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont, or because some Democrats cannot support either of their candidates. According to Gallup’s two most recent surveys, Clinton slid 4 points among Democrats.

“Both candidates remain historically unpopular among the broader pool of all Americans: The Gallup data show Trump with only a 34-percent favorable rating among all adults, compared to 39 percent for Clinton. Majorities have unfavorable opinions of both,” Politico reported.

Among independent voters, Trump’s numbers have improved since he vanquished his remaining GOP rivals in the Indiana primary on May 3, the site noted.

“His number among Republicans certainly is getting better. And that’s going to be a key, holding that vote,” said Patrick Murray, the director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute in New Jersey. “But, right now, independents are looking at this populist message, and it’s resonating a little, at least while Democrats are fighting among themselves.”



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