Former President George H.W. Bush was the last Republican to win the youth vote during a presidential election back in 1988. But a new New York Times/Siena poll believes Trump is very close to ending the 36-year reign of Democrat over this demographic. (Related: Forecast model predicts Donald Trump will win back White House, Republicans to take Senate and maintain House majority.)
The poll among prospective voters between the ages of 18 and 29 found Trump trailing Joe Biden by only two points at 47 percent to Biden's 45 percent. Another poll conducted by the Quinnipiac Polling Institute found Trump leading with registered voters in the 18 to 34 age group by one point.
In 2020, exit polling showed that Biden won the 18 to 29-year-old vote by 24 percentage points. Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton won this same demographic by 19 points in 2016.
Analysts are suggesting that Trump is offering policies that cater to the preferences of younger voters even if those proposals don't map neatly to the conservative consensus within the Republican Party. Axios journalist Neal Rothschild is suggesting three key policy proposals that have made Trump stand out among his colleagues in the GOP: TikTok, cryptocurrency and tipping.
Firstly, after a proposal to ban TikTok received bipartisan support in Congress and got the approval of Biden's White House, Trump baffled conservative China hawks by coming out against a unilateral ban.
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The electoral upside of such a stance is clear given TikTok's popularity among younger Americans, and support for a ban is lowest among the young voter demographic. Trump himself is attempting to appeal to young voters by going on TikTok himself and posting content on the platform.
Secondly, Trump has increasingly embraced the world of cryptocurrency. He has promoted Trump-themed NFTs (non-fungible tokens), vowed to end the federal government's regulatory hostility to crypto and endorsed the possibility of the U.S. government mining bitcoin as a way to help America become "energy dominant." This stance is in contrast with the Biden administration's posture toward the industry.
Finally, Trump has recently vowed to get rid of tip taxation in comments made at a recent rally in Las Vegas.
"For those hotel workers and people that get tips, you're going to be very happy. Because when I get to office, we are going to not charge taxes on tips," said Trump.
"You do a great job of service. You take care of people. And I think it's going to be something that really is deserved," he added. "So those people that have jobs in restaurants, whatever the job may be, a tipping job, we're not going after for taxes anymore."
As much as 43 percent of all adults in the U.S. have personally worked in a job where their income relied on tipping. The allure of having a significant portion of their income not subject to taxation is a clear one, especially since service industry workers like those in hotels and restaurants skew young.
Learn the latest developments from Trump's presidential campaign at VoteRepublican.news.
Watch this clip from Fox News reporting on how Trump may take back another demographic that the Democrats have dominated for decades – Black voters.
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