An expert has warned that the death of Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi could trigger a "bitter" civil war in the "unstable" Islamic Republic.
The Iranian leader was killed on May 19 as a result of a fatal helicopter crash in Iran's mountainous East Azerbaijan Province. Aside from Raisi, six others – including Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian, East Azerbaijan Gov. Malek Rahmati and a senior imam from Tabriz city – died in the crash.
The U.S.-made Bell 212 helicopter carrying Raisi and his companions crashed into a mountain peak in the Varzeqan region located north of Tabriz. The Iranian president was returning from an official visit to the border with Azerbaijan, in Iran's northwest, to inaugurate the Qiz-Qalasi Dam, a joint project. He had met with Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev before the tragic incident.
Some are worried that Raisi's death will leave a power vacuum that could cause a bigger civil war to break out. But according to professor Anthony Glees from the University of Buckingham in England, the Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei "has the real and absolute power in Iran" – a nation described by the British historian as "highly dangerous and unstable." (Related: Iran and Pakistan set to resume relations following cross-border missile strikes.)
According to Glees, Iran could suffer from "a bloody and bitter civil war" if massive infighting occurs. But for now, First Vice President Mohammed Mokhber will assume Raisi's position according to the country's constitution. Tehran is then mandated to hold elections at the soonest to elect the late Raisi's replacement.
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According to Glees, Mokhber is considered a "safe bet" who should be able to keep the warring factions in check. He added that the 68-year-old politician, who is within Khamenei's inner circle, is also deemed by the people as one who can reassure the Iranian people who are against "the bloody rule of the Ayatollahs."
Mojtaba Khamenei, the son of the incumbent supreme leader, is also being considered as Raisi's successor. But electing him as president would be a controversial move as having the 55-year-old cleric take power would establish a hereditary principle.
According to Glees, hardline Shiites – known for their black turbans – believe that while imams are chosen by God, "presidents are chosen by the people." He added that if the son of a supreme leader succeeded a supreme leader, that would establish a hereditary principle.
Opposition to such a move, like in the case of the last Shah Reza Pahlavi, is one of the major factors that sparked the 1979 Iranian Revolution.
Glees absurdly claims Raisi's death should be rejoiced
The British historian is of the belief that the death of Raisi should be rejoiced instead of mourned.
During his term, Raisi elicited controversy as he was reportedly responsible for the brutal crackdown against nationwide protests in 2022 following the death of Mahsa Amini while in police custody. Amini was believed to have been beaten to death by law enforcement after being arrested for improper wearing of the hijab.
Moreover, the late Raisi is believed to have been behind the retrial of 20,000 dissidents and the mass slaughter of 5,000 of them. Prior to his death, he led the attack on the Women, Life and Freedom movement – putting to death more than 500 women and having as many as 20,000 arrested.
Glees also pointed to the fact that both Raisi and Amir-Abdollahian were in the same helicopter and flying in fog "so thick they could not be found," suggests that they were incompetent at running a country. However, it was revealed that there was no fog at the time the Iranian president flew back from East Azerbaijan province – opening up various conspiracy theories about his death.
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Watch this clip about the late Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi and how his recent death can affect Iran's future.
This video is from The Prisoner channel on Brighteon.com.
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