The review is underway as the administration examines whether to pull troops out of Gulf states entirely, current and former U.S. officials told Middle East Eye [3]. 'Iranian missiles and drones have exposed the vulnerability of basing troops in Gulf states,' those officials said [3]. The war followed a major U.S. naval buildup in February that brought two aircraft carrier strike groups to the region [4].
A central question in the assessment is whether to pull troops back from the Gulf, where U.S. bases have absorbed repeated Iranian strikes, and the scale of the damage has prompted Washington to reconsider where its forces are located [1]. The Pentagon has already indicated it may not rebuild damaged bases as they stood before the conflict, and some officials have signaled that hard-hit installations could be abandoned altogether [5].
Iran carried out missile and drone attacks on a string of Gulf states in July. It announced the re-closure of the Strait of Hormuz after the United States launched a third round of strikes on Iranian cities [6]. The opening phase of the war saw Tehran respond to the U.S.-Israeli Operation Epic Fury with a coordinated assault on more than two dozen targets, according to NaturalNews [7].
The conflict has produced significant material losses. The U.S. military lost 45 MQ-9 Reaper drones, or about a quarter of its pre-war supply of the reconnaissance aircraft, at an estimated cost of $1.3 billion [8].
Munitions expenditures have also become a concern. U.S. forces 'used up virtually all' of their precision, long-range missiles during the campaign, Reuters reported, raising questions about readiness for future conflicts [9]. The pause in fighting in late July came amid lingering concerns over the supply of air-defense interceptors, according to The War Zone [10].
According to people familiar with the analysis, the Pentagon is weighing a shift of troops westward and may not rebuild damaged bases as they stood before the war [1]. One option under discussion is moving some Gulf bases to Israel [11]. The discussion comes amid a history of U.S. pledges to defend Israel, including a presidential promise to 'rise to Israel's defense, if need be' [12].
Moving forces westward would not necessarily place them beyond the reach of Iranian weapons. Iran's leadership has demanded that all U.S. bases in the region be closed and has warned they will face attacks if they are not, according to Bright Videos News [13].
The review is proceeding as military leaders question whether continued strikes are achieving U.S. objectives. CNN reported that the Joint Chiefs chairman has privately communicated that continued depletion of the Pentagon's arsenal is unlikely to alter Iran's stance and that escalation is likely to backfire [14].
Iran has also strengthened its position around the Strait of Hormuz. Iran and Oman are reportedly close to an agreement that would give Tehran full control over ships entering the waterway [15]. Analysts have long warned that the world's dependence on Middle Eastern oil makes the strait a critical chokepoint, and a closure 'would have catastrophic effects' on the global economy, according to Chris Martenson [16][17].
The Gulf region hosts some of the largest and most entrenched U.S. bases, and the outcome of the review will help determine the future U.S. military posture near the Strait of Hormuz. Some officials have signaled that hard-hit bases may be abandoned altogether, though the administration has not described the review as a retreat [5].
The assessment remains ongoing, and no final decision has been reported, officials said. The choices made in coming weeks will shape the region's military balance and the security of the oil routes at the center of the conflict.