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Shocking analysis: The true US national debt EXCEEDS $158 trillion, not $36 trillion
By Lance D Johnson // Feb 05, 2025

  • Truth in Accounting warns that the U.S. government's true financial liabilities exceed 158 trillion, far surpassing the 36 trillion national debt.
  • The organization highlights the alarming shortfall in funding for Social Security and Medicare, with each taxpayer's share of the debt nearing $1 million.
  • Experts call for urgent reforms, including full accrual accounting, to address the nation's fiscal challenges and prevent severe consequences for future generations.

Unmasking the true debt

In a startling revelation at the recent "Citizen-Heroes Conference," the Illinois-based government finance watchdog Truth in Accounting (TIA) has sounded the alarm on the U.S. government's financial reporting practices. According to TIA, the true extent of the nation's financial obligations is vastly understated, with the actual debt reaching a staggering 158 trillion—more than four times the 36 trillion figure commonly cited.

Sheila Weinberg, Executive Director of TIA, emphasized the gravity of the situation. "Our estimate is over 158 trillion, which includes more than 50 trillion in unfunded Social Security benefits and over 66 trillion in unfunded Medicare benefits," she stated.

The Congressional Budget Office's latest report corroborates this bleak outlook, projecting that public debt will soar to $52 trillion by 2035. This projection, however, does not account for the unfunded liabilities of Social Security and Medicare, which TIA argues are crucial to understanding the full scope of the crisis.

The looming threat to social security and Medicare

Andy Miller, a former CPA, highlighted the precarious state of these vital programs. "Social Security will be depleted by 2033, while Medicare will be depleted by 2039," he warned. Miller attributed this impending collapse to the federal government's inadequate accounting practices, which fail to accurately reflect the true cost of these entitlements.

The Treasury Department's financial reporting practices have come under scrutiny for only including a fraction of the liabilities related to Social Security and Medicare on the federal balance sheet. According to government documents, recipients do not have a legal right to benefits beyond those to be paid next month, and lawmakers can alter or eliminate future benefits at any time. This lack of transparency and accountability has led to a situation where the true financial obligations of these programs are obscured.

David Walker, former Comptroller General of the United States and founder of the Comeback America Initiative, emphasized the need for urgent reforms. "The U.S. government needs better planning, transparency, and more citizen engagement when it comes to spending," he asserted. Walker argued that these elements are essential for achieving the necessary transformational change and warned that failure to act would have severe consequences for America and its citizens.

The conference organizers urged high-profile public figures, such as Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy, to champion the cause of full accrual accounting. This accounting method, which records expenses when they are incurred rather than when they are paid, is seen as a crucial step toward restoring credibility to U.S. fiscal policy.

The path forward: a financial reckoning

The Treasury Department's financial reporting practices have been criticized for their lack of transparency and accuracy. By only including a small portion of the liabilities related to Social Security and Medicare, the government creates a misleading picture of its financial health. TIA argues that accurate accounting dictates that these liabilities should be recorded when it is likely that future payments will be made and when those amounts can be reasonably estimated.

The estimated deterioration in the true national debt is based on historical trends and the present value of future benefits, as calculated by the Social Security and Medicare trustees. TIA's assessment includes these unfunded promises, which total 66.2 trillion for Medicare and 50.3 trillion for Social Security.

The U.S. government's financial condition has reached a critical juncture. The astronomical debt and deficits, coupled with nontransparent and flawed budgeting and accounting techniques, have created a situation that is difficult, if not impossible, to manage. The first step toward addressing this crisis is presenting accurate and transparent figures through full accrual budgeting and accounting. Only then can Congress, the President, and the American people make informed decisions about taxation and spending.

Sources include:

TheCenterSquare.com

TruthinAccounting.org

WataugaDemocrat.com


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