Earlier this month, FTX entered a downward spiral that saw the company's fortunes crumble to almost nothing within the span of days. Binance, a rival crypto exchange, initially offered to buy the company. But less than 48 hours later, the potential deal fell through, causing what little value the market still had for FTX to wither away. (Related: Binance backs out of bailout plan to rescue FTX, causing further turmoil across crypto markets.)
The problem for FTX is the fact that its founder and CEO, Sam Bankman-Fried, has close ties to many other crypto assets, dubbed as "Sam coins."
Among such coins is Solana's SOL, which is heavily backed by Alameda Research, a crypto trading firm founded and run by Bankman-Fried. SOL's value has collapsed since the start of the liquidity crisis. One SOL token is currently worth around $14. On Tuesday, Nov. 8, it was trading at $30 per token.
SOL's deep ties to FTX have turned it into a proxy for the collapsing company in the eyes of crypto traders. Its value has already nearly vanished from its peak of almost $80 billion in Nov. 2021 to just over $6 billion now. Furthermore, the Solana blockchain has been plagued by a series of mishaps, including hacks and outages.
"I do worry about the impact this will have, given Alameda had large holdings in SOL that could get liquidated," said crypto entrepreneur Tristan Frizza.
SOL is the second-largest holding of Alameda, representing about 10 percent of Solana's market cap.
"Solana has a rough couple of days ahead of it. The immediate concern is that a lot of SOL could be sold off in the next 48 hours, as nearly 19 million tokens hit the market with Epoch 370, and those holders look to avoid any additional losses," noted Michael Safai, co-founder of cryptocurrency trading firm Dexterity Capital. "There's also the pressure that could come from borrowers potentially liquidating Solana to shore up balance sheets or meet demand from creditors."
But Messari senior research analyst Tom Dunleavy believes Alameda has already liquidated a lot of its SOL holdings to raise capital, and that this decline could plateau in the next few days. "Longer term, Solana has a much more vibrant ecosystem of developers, second only to Ethereum," he said.
Sources within Solana, who spoke with Fortune's crypto reporter Taylor Locke, support Dunleavy's analysis regarding Solana's future.
"The focus internally continues to be moving forward and building," Locke wrote. He also quoted Solana co-founder Anatoly Yakovenko, who said that the company did not have any assets invested in FTX and is generally protected from its potential full collapse.
Watch this episode of the "Health Ranger Report" as Mike Adams, the Health Ranger, talks to "Crypto Nostradamus" John Perez about the ongoing implosion in the cryptocurrency market.