Coronavirus Case Fatality Rate (CFR) now over 18% for France, 14% for Italy, 12% for Spain, 10% for Mexico and so far 6% for the USA… orders of magnitude higher than the regular flu

05/09/2020 / By Mike Adams / Comments

The Case Fatality Rate (CFR) for the coronavirus is currently tracking at over 18% for France, over 16% for Belgium, 14% for Italy, nearly 12% for Spain, 10% for Mexico, about 7% for Canada and is currently at 6% for the USA, according to a comprehensive chart offered by OurWorldInData.org.

The chart, shown below, reveals how the coronavirus is orders of magnitude more deadly than the regular flu, which has a Case Fatality Rate (CFR) below 0.1%, meaning fewer than 1 in 1,000 people who are confirmed and diagnosed with the regular flu end up dying from it. This is confirmed by CDC statistics.

DEFINITIONS: The Case Fatality Rate (CFR) is the ratio of deaths to the number of people who are symptomatic and diagnosed with the illness. The Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) is the ratio of deaths to the number of people who have been infected, even if they never showed symptoms. The IFR for the coronavirus is unreliable because of all the false positives stemming from faulty antibody test kits manufactured in China, which are almost certainly intentionally designed to show high numbers of false positives in order to sow confusion and complacency across America. (Remember: We’re in an actual war with China, and they launched the bioweapon against us. Why wouldn’t they also try to confuse America with bad testing kits, too?)

The pro-Trump media has consistently tried to conflate the Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) of the coronavirus with the Case Fatality Rate (CFR) of the regular flu, to try to dishonestly claim that “the coronavirus is no more dangerous than the flu.” Such claims are either the result of 1) Intellectually dishonest people who are trying to downplay the coronavirus for political reasons, or 2) Mathematically illiterate people who don’t know how fractions work.

At Natural News, we have consistently and repeatedly warned that the coronavirus is far more dangerous than the regular flu, and we’ve warned about the complacency being pushed by conservative and independent media, which will result in a second wave of exploding coronavirus cases across the USA. Our warnings have been drowned out by mathematically illiterate (or intellectually dishonest) “journalists” who are mostly pro-Trump, conservative pundits who are right now inadvertently setting up President Trump to be utterly destroyed by the second wave of infections and deaths that are coming.

Here’s the current tracking of Case Fatality Rate (CFR) of the coronavirus. Note that these numbers are all low because they assume every person confirmed to have the coronavirus is symptomatic, which isn’t the case at all. In reality, for an accurate CFR analysis, we would have to multiply all the numbers shown here by a factor of something in the neighborhood of 1.4. Note that the horizontal axis on this chart is logarithmic. If you’re not sure what logarithmic means, Fox News has a job opening for you in their science news division.

Source: OurWorldInData.org.

If the Case Fatality Rate for the regular flu were to be depicted on this chart, it would be shown almost touching the bottom line of the chart, at just 0.096% (not even 0.1%, but lower).

Thus, even based on the numbers shown here, the CFR of the coronavirus is at least two orders of magnitude higher than the reagular flu for many countries, including Spain, Italy, France, Hungary, Mexico, etc.

The Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) for the coronavirus is entirely unknown because of the problem of huge numbers of false positives from bogus antibody test kits. But the IFR for the regular flu is 0.025%, or about 1 in 4,000 people dying after getting infected.

We don’t trust “infection” numbers for the coronavirus because there are way too many false positives from the bad testing kits that were all approved by the FDA in a mad rush, even when most of them were so bad they would flag false positives from testing papayas and other fresh fruit.

Global analysis of excess mortalities shows that coronavirus deaths are being significantly under-counted

The fact that global coronavirus deaths have been under counted by a substantial amount — as detailed in an exhaustive Financial Times review of excess mortalities — indicates the real death toll from covid-19 is at least 50% higher than official numbers (and may be up to 60% higher).

This the 6% Case Fatality Rate for the coronavirus in the United States is really more like 9-10%. The following FT chart shows the excess deaths from any cause for NYC. Note that it’s a nearly 300% increase in deaths from any cause, regardless of what’s shown on death certificates. This obliterated the denialism argument that claims nobody is really dying from the coronavirus, and that it’s all just people who would have died anyway:

We’ve separately analyzed the numbers over the last several months, confirming that the real CFR for the coronavirus in the United States really is closer to 10%, which means that 1 in 10 people who are diagnosed and symptomatic end up dying from the infection.

The upshot of all this is that as US states begin to reopen their economies and the American masses who have been lied to by Fox News, conservative media and pro-Trump independent media begin to spill into the restaurants, stores and barber shops, a second wave of infections and deaths will once again resume. And the results will be catastrophic for the simple reason that this isn’t just the flu, and it never was.

We’ve detailed the expected progression in this article covering the “10 Stage of Coronavirus.”

Watch the full analysis here, in the form of a podcast along with accompanying slides:

Here’s a graphic representation of the 10 stages, five at a time:

For the second half of 2020, and part of 2021:

As you can see from this global chart of confirmed covid-19 deaths, we haven’t stopped the pandemic, we’ve only paused it. The exponential explosion has simply been “flattened” but not crushed. Deaths are moving sideways during the lockdown, which means once the lockdowns are ended alongside widespread complacency, the coronavirus will simply resume its exponential growth once again. This chart shows daily deaths:

As anyone who can do math can readily see, unless something dramatically changes course soon, Trump will be utterly destroyed by October and have virtually no chance of winning re-election. Although this is not an official projection, I wouldn’t be surprised at all if we see 300,000+ deaths in America by election day. And if all precautions are dropped across that country, that number would be in the millions.

Trump’s own supporters are making sure he goes down in flames by spreading the coronavirus through complacency and stupidity

The mostly pro-Trump indy media outlets claiming the lockdowns were never necessary have now fatally misinformed their own readers, and the lockdowns will be lifted with complacency and denialism. Mark Cuban has already discovered that 96% of Texas businesses are failing to comply with the basic precautions mandated by the state. This means Texas will become a new hub of coronavirus spread, and it will devastate Houston, Dallas / Ft. Worth and San Antonio, not to mention Austin and other cities.

As we have repeatedly warned, mathematical illiteracy will lead to catastrophe when it comes to a genetically engineered bioweapon that spreads along an exponential model. Since very few human beings are able to grasp exponential events, the vast majority of people today are vastly underestimating the severity and danger of this virus, and they may be destroyed by it.

There’s no question that if the complacency continues, Trump’s credibility will be destroyed long before the election. It turns out that the coronavirus is the one challenge that Trump can’t talk his way out of. You can bullsh#t the world when it comes to celebrity status or claims of financial assets, but you can’t bullsh#t the coronavirus.

To the coronavirus, Trump just looks like another piece of human tissue to feed upon.

Case Fatality Rate, CDC, CFR, complacency, coronavirus, death rate, exponential, infections, outbreak, pandemic, President Trump, regular flu